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    Monday, October 11, 2010

    The potential of weekly options

    Bigger Gains, Less Time. Tap Into the Potential of Weekly Options

    Traders spoke, and the exchanges listened. And, if the growing popularity of the new weekly-expiration options is any indication, these shorter-term puts and calls will soon join their monthly-expiration counterparts as mainstream trading instruments.

    Just as the name implies, the newest innovation in option trading are derivatives that are issued on Thursdays, and then expire the following Friday?. six trading days later.

    But why bother with short-duration instruments when the traditional monthly expiries have been working fine for all these years? There are actually quite a few advantages these instruments boast that simply can?t be said for the alternatives. Consider this:
    • Weekly options inherently offer a greater ?delta?. That just means each of them are more responsive to changes in the underlying security?s price during their lifespan than monthly options are.
    • Weekly options don?t suffer from a high ?theta?. In other words, time decay isn?t a major impediment for weekly options. Since they?re so short in duration, there?s no excess time value (or premium) baked into the price. As a result, weekly options tend to cost less.

    While those two details are the favorable technicalities, the overarching attraction to these new short-term derivatives is not only ?bigger picture?, but much more important than the high delta and low theta?.. weekly options are amazingly flexible.

    Learn specific techniques and strategies for trading Weekly Options
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    One of the more challenging drawbacks of trading traditional options has been the misalignment of a trader?s timeframe and the option?s lifespan.

    For example, a trade?s ?sweet spot? may end up spanning the last week of one month and the first week of the next month. However, since monthly options expire right before that sweet spot has occurred (and are issued several weeks before that period), a trader may be forced to choose an option, expiration, or strike price that doesn?t fully maximize a trade?s potential.

    Said another way, a lack of choices of when an option?s life begins and ends means the trade?s theta and delta aren?t ideal, leaving money on the table.

    Weekly options, conversely, are new every week, so a trader can pick and choose to step into a trend that?s moving at the time. Or, he or she can choose to pass on a trade that?s stagnant at the time. And what happens when the underlying stock or index starts to move again? No problem ? just step in again with the next weekly issue. There?s no need to waste time and tie up capital by holding an option during the underlying security?s dead periods.


    And what sorts of securities or indices currently offer these weekly options. All the usual suspects in terms of indices are available?. major indices like the S&P 500, and weekly options for some of the major sector ETFs are on the table as well. A few of the most highly-traded stocks are in the fray too. Since these are issued on a revolving basis at the discretion of the exchanges though (largely depending on demand), you never know which stock you may be able to play this way in the future. [Indeed, many traders have used them as a way to leverage a position for purely a one-time event, like an earnings announcement.]

    While the advantages of trading weekly options are clear, a new set of trading mindsets and rules also apply:
    • Get your short-term charts and ebb/flow predictions ready. One of the primary reasons equity and index options exist in their traditional timeframes - with a lifespan of months if not more than a year - is to offer an active investor a way to leverage his or her capital, while allowing that same trader to ride out rough patches on the way to the end-goal. Weekly options, on the other hand, are a short-term chartist?s dream. The key question is, where will this stock/index be in a week (or less)?

    • Use the market tide to your advantage. In the same vein is ?think short-term?, traders should tap the market?s near-term tidal forces?. since 3 out of 4 stocks tend to move in tandem with the market?s strong moves. Yes, given enough time, the best individual stock trends can defy the market?s ebb and low. The whole point here is speed though, which means calling the market right at any given time is half the battle (whether you?re trading stock or index options).

    • Keep the original intent in mind. It?s contrary to most everything we?ve been taught as investors, but the whole point of weekly options is to reap the benefit from a short-term move; get in and out accordingly. Some traders are using them to profit from news announcements (like earnings). Others are just using them to hedge a position through a certain timeframe. Don?t be afraid to cut loose once your reasonable objective has been met.


    The proliferation of weekly option trading is sure to be a beneficial one for traders. Like any other trading arena though, it?s the mastery of the nuances more than the mechanics that will be the key to your success.

    Looking for More strategies on Weekly Options?
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    Tuesday, October 5, 2010

    @ES Volume Gradient

    A daily chart with volume profile gradient. Lots of strong support below us.

    Courtesy of @VPgradient

    What is a loser bucket?




    What is a loser bucket? <-------click to find out. Then learn how this setup works with a free trial:

    Click here to check out the free trial. I promise you will not regret it!

    Monday, October 4, 2010

    A little behind

    Thing have been hectic the past few weeks so I have not had time to finish what I had planned to start Oct 1'st. Sorry for the delay folks but things will be up and running shortly. I will show you a few things here and there and how I learned how to trade the ES for a living. It took me 2 years and all of the good sites I learned from are here with links to and free trials. If you have any questions on any of the sites let me know and I will do my best to answer or connect you with someone who can answer your questions. Also please excuse my crude writing style, I am a trader not an English major so please bare with me :)

    Some great trade set-ups coming at you soon!

    Tuesday, September 14, 2010

    Poll

    The reason I am polling is because I have allot of stuff for Tradestation and InvestorRT/Market Delta and me and my brother worked very hard on it so there will eventually be a private blog just for code. It will be a 1 time fee and you have access for life. I have had over 10k visitors show up just for the free code. The stuff on here is nothing compared to what there will be on the sub blog.
    And yes I know I spelled definitions wrong LOL! But I am a trader not a English major so...please forgive me :) and please vote.....thank you!

    P.S. All current followers e-mail me.....you guys get grandfathered in for being loyal ;)

    Monday, September 13, 2010

    COT Data for the week



    Some CRUDE stats

    Bullish factors for crude prices include 1: the unexpected decline in weekly crude oil and distillate inventories (crude oil -1.85 million bbl versus expectations of +1.0 million bbl and distillates -388,000 bbl versus expectations of +700,000 bbl), 2: the increase in compliance in OPEC production quotas in Aug to 53.5% from 52.6% in July, and 3: the recent rally in US and European stock markets to 1-month highs, which fuels optimism that the global economic recovery and energy demand may strengthen. Bearish factors include 1: the action by the US Energy Department to cut its 2010 crude oil price forecast to an average of $77.37 a barrel, down from last month's forecast of $79.13 a barrel, citing the reduced projections for US economic growth, 2: the action by OPEC to cut their 2011 global oil demand forecast to 28.8 million barrels a day, 100,000 barrels a day less than last month’s forecast, and 3: Citigroup’s cut in its 3-month crude oil price forecast to $74 a barrel from $78 and in its 6-12 month forecast to $83 from $85 a barrel, citing high inventories and “downside risks” to US economic growth.


    Crude oil inventories basically have moved sideways since May and have not come down as they should at the end of the summer driving season. In the latest week, crude oil inventories were 8.7% above their 5-year seasonal average, which was the highest figure since May 2009 when the U.S. recession was drawing to a close. Product inventories are also high with gasoline and distillate inventories 8.9% and 19.3% above their respective 5-year seasonal averages. The high level of product inventories can be directly attributed to weak demand. there is little chance of a surge in US and global economic growth, the only solution for the oil market is for oil prices to either work their way lower to find stronger demand or for OPEC to start cutting production. OPEC production has been virtually unchanged since February 2010 at about 26.8 MBPD. However, non-OPEC production has been rising since mid-2009 and in July hit a new 5-year high of 49.9 MBPD. If OPEC doesn't want to see a continued deterioration in oil prices, then the cartel is going to need to start cutting production. As usual, the responsibility to cut production will fall first on Saudi Arabia as OPEC’s swing producer and chief market-fixer.


    Like to trade crude? The best crude trader I know has a blog in the works and you all will be the first to know as soon as it comes on line.

    Friday, September 10, 2010

    Coming back

    The blog has been down for a long time and I am bringing it back...so for my 9 followers, thanks for being patient and sticking with me.

    There are going to be a lot of great things coming up and free trials to only the best services out there. As well as lots of useful Tradestation code and InvestorRT & MarketDelta deffenitions. Plus I will be using this as a sort of trading journal and this blog will never be a subscription based blog so no fees ever....this will all be free forever so pass the word out and good trading to you!

    So get ready!

    Projected back date: October 1st 2010