AbsolutionCL

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    Thursday, January 20, 2011

    1-20-2011

    Composite: Yesterday was a big sell off. Still stayed within micro composite levels. This hasn't gone to the bears, yet.
    15 Minute: Key zones marked. Yesterday was a trend day and also a somewhat 'd' shaped profile indicative of further long liquidation. This further weakens the underlying structure of the market, but as stated before the bears aren't in control, yet.
    5 Minute: Zones and levels marked.
    Globex: Overnight condition is range to downtrend. VPOC creeping lower. Expect news to drive a lot of the market today, especially the jobs number at 7:30 AM CST, existing home sales and Philly Fed at 9 AM CST.

    Hypotheses/Plan: Overnight inventories tending to creep down but we are getting some good earnings reports ( 6:45 AM CST ). If the market opens inside yesterday's range probabilities could favor a range day and I will look to fade the edges. If the market opens below yesterday's range to me this will signal that there is more work to be done on the downside and I will look to short rallies.

    Quote of the day: "It is not my job to know if the trade will be a winner or not. It IS my job to recognize the signals and take the trade." - Dave Dube

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